According to @StockMKTNewz on X (Jan 6, 2026), the S&P 500 has closed the year higher 68% of the time since 1900 (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026). In years the market finishes higher, the average return is +18.1%, while in down years the average return is -14.9% (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026; citing @LeverageShares). For crypto traders, these equity return tendencies matter because BTC and ETH have shown periods of positive correlation with U.S. equities, with BTC–S&P 500 60‑day correlation reaching around 0.36 during 2020–2021 (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync with Stocks, Jan 2022). This context can inform risk-on positioning in BTC and ETH during equity uptrends or hedging in potential drawdowns, aligned with the historical +18%/−15% equity return magnitudes (source: @StockMKTNewz on X, Jan 6, 2026; source: IMF, Jan 2022).